Province of BC, Excess Mortality – A Peculiar
Tale
Questions to the BC Government
Alex Posoukh, 604-307-3733, posoukh@yahoo.com
At the outset of the lockdown regimes across
the world in March 2020, many sceptics claimed that the new all-cause mortality
phenomenon was not going to be an exclusive domain of those effected by the Covid-19,
a disease that is allegedly triggered by the novel coronavirus SARS Cov2. Right
from the start, it became clear that the officialdom, particularly in
jurisdictions with important mortality spikes, was bent to obscure the picture
of who died due to the Covid-19 and who died due to other causes such as
lockdowns. New York, on one bright April day just wrote in 3,700 Covid-19
fatalities1 with no examination whatsoever. Others, like Belgium2,
said outright that any all-cause excess mortality is the exclusive domain of
the virus. Sweden, a notable lockdown resister, did its best to overcount to
avoid any accusations of hiding the data. As a result, Sweden’s excess
mortality in 2020 of approximately 3,200 was handily overshadowed by the
official Covid-19 fatality number of 9,7713.
In
this cacophony of successive obfuscations, Canada, most notably the province of
BC, was an excellent outlier. On the one hand, the local governmental response,
headed by the soft-spoken bureaucrat Bonnie Henry, was a massive overreaction
as many a place. On the other hand, there was so little Covid-19 to be found in
BC that the government inevitably came out to be a much-heralded early winner
in the “struggle” against the virus. Profiled
by the prestigious New York Times4, Bonnie Henry was basking in the
glory of low Covid-19 numbers while another disaster was developing under her
nose. While Covid-19 indeed was not at all a problem, all-cause mortality began
climbing almost immediately after the lockdown measures were put in place.
The
first obvious cause of lockdown mortality was a large spike in drug overdoses5.
The government, which has not spoken once on the lockdown mortality impacts to
this day, immediately blamed the events on increased drug toxicity,
which was presumably the result of the closed borders. Even here, the
mainstream press could have called the government to account – after all, the
closed borders are the result of the lockdowns. But they didn’t. With the press
completely under the sway of the government, the government began entrenching
the “toxic drugs” propaganda message7, even if such spikes were
happening south of the border as well6.
Through
the summer, the situation worsened as it was clear that the excess mortality
numbers could not have account just for Covid-19 and drug overdoses. But the
government stayed on the message of lockdown mortality denialism (in 2020, BC ended
up with 5.5% excess mortality while “granny-killing” Sweden with 3.5%. While in
Sweden, most of the excess mortality related to Covid-19, in BC the excess
morality was predominantly driven by lockdowns – approximately 1.25% due to Covid-19
versus 4.25% due to lockdowns)8. Nearly every day, Adrian Dix and
Bonnie Henry issue condolences to the families of the Covid-19 deceased. Not
once they bothered to even mention nearly 1,500-2,000 of BC residents who most
likely died as the result of the lockdown policies in 2020.
As
you can see from above, the trend of BC excess mortality exceeding the Covid-19
number remained consistent throughout the summer until the month January 2021.
Notably, as the number of tests performed grew substantially throughout the
fall (please see the graph below19), the clear pattern of
reattribution of excess mortality to Covid-19 also grew. Between March and
October 2020, the total excess mortality in BC amounted to approximately 1,300
while Covid-19 deaths amounted to only 264. As the “second” seasonal wave began
gathering steam, reattribution to Covid-19 grew substantially. In fact, between
November 2020 and January 2021, the total excess mortality amounted to approximately
940 while the total Covid-19 mortality for the same period amounted to 1,106.
Particularly notable was the month of January 2021, the total access mortality
was recorded to be just 25 while the Covid-19 mortality amounted to 381.
By
the end of January 2021, it appeared that the BC excess mortality numbers were
primed for a trough as it happened in other jurisdictions such as the UK and Sweden
after the epidemiological spikes. This was a somewhat reassuring news. However,
February 2021 delivered a surprise as the excess morality went up once again. While
there are several possible explanations for such a rise, the beginning of the vaccination
campaign among the frontline staff and LTC residents could be one of such
explanations.
Given
my previous article on the Prince Rupert vaccinations9, vaccines
could have been a plausible explanation. With a 6-months hindsight of observing
the local and foreign jurisdictional examples such as Norway and Israel, it is
absolutely clear that vaccine induced Covid-19 like illness could have been one
of such triggers in addition to all manner of organ complications10
and failures caused by blood clotting and other triggers such as neurological
conditions described by Dr. Hoffe of Lytton BC11.
I
personally came across at least 5 local cases whereby recently vaccinated
individuals came down with a severe Covid like illness that necessitated ICU
hospitalizations. One of these individuals died and was coded Covid-19. This post-first
dose susceptibility was described as far back as February 2021 in at least
three different UK and Danish studies12. In other words, it was
entirely predictable. And yet this was completely omitted from the governmental
communications with the public.
With
the above, I am inclined to believe that the “third” unseasonal wave in British
Columbia and elsewhere in Canada was triggered by the mass vaccination rollout
campaign in early March 2021. My earlier research on the targeted vaccinations
clinics in Northern Health indicate that February 2021 excess mortality was not
an unexplainable blip. To test my hypothesis, I decided to attribute all excess
mortality unexplained by Covid-19 coding to the effect of the vaccines. While perhaps
a bit aggressive method of accounting for the excess mortality burden, I
justify such an approach by the fact that many of post-vaccinal deaths were
coded Covid-19 as per my explanation in the previous paragraph. Moreover, this
was anecdotally confirmed by several medical professionals in the media13.
Therefore,
assuming that all Covid-19 fatalities recorded since the beginning of February
2021 are not related to the vaccination campaign and attributing the rest of
the excess mortality to the vaccination effects, here are the results of the past
4 months (please be advised that April and May 2021 are estimates based on incomplete
data available on June 20, 2021).
From
the above, I don’t think that it is difficult to recognize a pattern. First, February
2021 shows the concerted effort to vaccinate the front-line staff and LTC
residents. The in March 2021, as the mass vaccination campaign began, the effects
are delayed due to the gradual manner of the rollout and the 1-3-week window between
the vaccinations and related outcomes. Only in the locations associated with
the rapid clinics like in the one in Prince Rupert, one could see almost immediate
mortality spikes. For the rest of the province, the excess mortality excess
effect increased from March to April and from April to May 2021. What is worse,
is that in Northern Health, subsequent to Prince Rupert, Haida Gwaii and Upper
Skeena vaccination clinics, comparable mortality spikes were observed in April and
May in association with clinics in other locations (please see table below). Worse
yet, if Prince Rupert is any indication, the pattern of excess mortality, while
subsiding from the record setting March 2021, still appears to trend above averages.
This is abnormal (in red are the locations on the rapid vaccine clinic list as
per Northern Health, Smithers – only partial rapid rollout).
For
the province as the whole, assuming the 1-3-week general delay between
vaccinations and related effects, the excess mortality outcomes captured by the
end of May 2021 roughly correspond to 2,500,000 doses given14. This
works out to one fatality per 5,600 injections. This is alarming to say the least as the government
and related experts are still claiming “extremely rare” clotting events which
could happen on the order of one per 60,000 to 600,00015 injections.
This is patently not true. As I have received yet another personal report of an
acquittance who landed in the hospital after her second injection, I am posing
the following questions to the government.
Questions to the BC Government
1. Why has the government not investigated the
excess mortality in the province and its correlation with public health measures?
2. Why has the government not provided a cost-benefit
analysis of its public health measures to date?
3. Can the government provide scientific proof
that the opioid spikes in BC have been caused not by the lockdowns due to
expanded drug use but by the locality-specific factors such as sudden emergence
of drugs with incrementally significant toxicity?
4. Can the government advise of any changes in the
Covid-19 coding guidelines given considerably higher levels of testing in the second
part of 2020 and in 2021 as compared to the first 6 months of the public health
measures?
5. Was the government aware of the cited studied
published in February 2021 that postulated that the Covid-19 vaccine
effectiveness was significantly lower in actual LTC and frontline staff
applications when compared to the original claims made on the basis of the manufacturers’
trials?
6. Can the government clarify how many of the
Covid-19 fatalities took place subsequently to the first or second injection administration?
7. Is the
government aware of the total reported Covid-19 vaccine fatalities in the US
(VAERS), UA (Eudravigilence)? As such, in total have already amounted to more
than 20,000, why is the government yet to pause its mass vaccination campaign pending
further investigation?
Bibliography:
2) https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/world/canada/bonnie-henry-british-columbia-coronavirus.html
3)
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1105753/cumulative-coronavirus-deaths-in-sweden/
4) https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/05/world/canada/bonnie-henry-british-columbia-coronavirus.html
8) https://www2.gov.bc.ca/gov/content/life-events/statistics-reports/deaths
9) https://alexposoukh.blogspot.com/2021/05/vaccination-campaign-in-prince-rupert.html?m=1
12) https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.08.21252200v1.full.pdf
13) https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.08.21252200v1.full.pdf
17) https://yellowcard.mhra.gov.uk/
19) http://www.bccdc.ca/health-info/diseases-conditions/covid-19/data#vaccine
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